среда, 25 сентября 2013 г.
Sydney’s airport caters for most of Australia’s air travel, both domestic and international. The air
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Does Sydney need a second airport? In the the recent furore, Foreign Minister Bob Carr, former Prime Minister Paul Keating, Qantas CEO Alan Joyce, former Federal Transport Minister Peter Morris, and former NSW Premier Nick Greiner have all called discount car rental in salt lake city for another airport to be built.
Does Sydney need a second airport? discount car rental in salt lake city In the the recent furore, Foreign Minister Bob Carr , former Prime Minister Paul Keating , Qantas CEO Alan Joyce , former Federal Transport Minister Peter Morris , and former NSW Premier Nick Greiner have all called for another airport to be built.
But first, let's put the need for a second airport in context. Why does Sydney need a second airport? How soon does it need it? Are there any similar examples overseas? And why are our politicians having so much trouble making a decision?
According to data released by Amadeus discount car rental in salt lake city (a company servicing the travel industry), the Sydney-Melbourne route was the fifth busiest in the world in 2011 (by number of passengers). At slightly more than 7 million seats, Sydney-Melbourne came after South Korea's Jeju-Seoul (close to 10m), Brazil's Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo (about 7.7m), and Japan's discount car rental in salt lake city Osaka-Tokyo (about 7.6m). Other busy routes include Beijing-Shanghai (7th) and Mumbai-Delhi (10th).
Sydney's airport caters for most of Australia's air travel, both domestic and international. The airport is currently coping with about 36 million passenger movements and 320,000 discount car rental in salt lake city aircraft movements annually. By 2035, the airport needs to be able to cope with 80 million passenger movements (double the current number) and nearly 430,000 aircraft movements (an increase of 50%) per year.
In March 2012, Federal Transport Minister, Anthony Albanese, released the "Joint Study on Aviation Capacity for the Sydney Region" report . The study was overseen by an independent steering committee of government and industry experts.
According discount car rental in salt lake city to the report, if Sydney's future aviation needs cannot be met by 2060, the economy-wide impacts across the Australian economy could total $59.5 billion (in 2010 dollars) in foregone expenditure and $34 billion in foregone gross domestic product. The report warns of thousands of lost jobs and major traffic and train congestion if a second airport is not built.
It also warns that by around discount car rental in salt lake city 2027, all flight slots will be allocated. In other words, unless another discount car rental in salt lake city service is cancelled, no new entrants can be accommodated. By around 2035, there will be practically no scope for further growth at the airport. Forecasted shortfalls are shown in the figure below.
As such, Qantas CEO Alan Joyce has been quite vocal on the need for another airport – speaking of the two hours it often takes for Qantas Boeing 747s to be towed through Sydney airport and congestion routinely causing planes to spend 30 minutes circling above the city, while others were unable to take off on time.
The debate over a second airport in Sydney is not new. The discussion started back in the 1970s when the Major Airport discount car rental in salt lake city Needs of Sydney (MANS) group was established to select a site. The group identified both Wilton and Badgerys Creek as potential locations.
In 1989, Bob Hawke put off construction of a new airport and built a third runway at Kingsford Smith. In 1995, Paul Keating legislated funding to build a Badgerys Creek airport, but John Howard revoked the funding and opted for expansions at Bankstown and Canberra airports instead. Badgerys Creek is actually owned by the Federal Government, but in 2009 Kevin Rudd had announced intentions to sell the land.
Over the past couple of years, Canberra has been increasingly mentioned as a possible alternative – a solution supported by NSW Premier Barry O'Farrell – with travel times reduced to 45-50 minutes using a high speed rail link between Canberra and Sydney. However, such plans have yet to materialise.
Calls are now being made for the federal government discount car rental in salt lake city to simply discount car rental in salt lake city step in and get the job done as constitutional law experts say that the NSW government could not stop a second discount car rental in salt lake city airport being built if the federal government decided to proceed.
Indeed, more than 600 international airports are publicly owned, according to a 2007 ICAO report . In Europe, 78% of all airports are publicly owned with a further 13% involving public partnership, according to a 2010 study by ACI .
In the UK, aviation infrastructure around London has been identified as one of the most significant impediments to economic development. discount car rental in salt lake city In 2003, a proposed expansion of London Heathrow Airport (one of the busiest airports in the world) was put forward.
The plan was supported by various groups including the British Chambers of Commerce, the Confederation of British Industry, the Trades Union Congress and the Labour Party. However, in 2010, the new UK government opposed it .
Industries come and go and do not last forever and neither should the taxpayer be made to fund a dying service industry, well past it s prime of 2006, if one looks very closely at all commercial airlines balance sheets.
Peak oil was in 2006, oil production figures from all industries sources, show that annual production is in decline. Other oil industry sources say, that by 2020, British North Sea Oil, which peaked…
Industries come and go and do not last forever and neither should the taxpayer be made to fund a dying service industry, discount car rental in salt lake city well past it s prime of 2006, if one looks very closely at all commercial airlines balance sheets.
Peak oil was in 2006, oil production figures from all industries sources, show that annual production is in decline. Other oil industry sources say, that by 2020, British North Sea Oil, which peaked in 1999, will be not more than one third of what the output is today.
Now it is a given, the time required for all major construction projects, such as airports is non trivial. The construction discount car rental in salt lake city period for Sydney s next airport including construction of the major transportation links, would be around seven to ten years. Even then, the NSW government must spend urgently needed billions of dollars from other infrastructure upgrades, discount car rental in salt lake city in upgrading all forms of transport to the new airfield too. This would put the completion discount car rental in salt lake city date, well past the cut off date of 2020, when cheap non renewable crude oil production falls well below the magical discount car rental in salt lake city one third, of that which is produced today.
In 2020, I estimate, due to high fuel costs cheap airline fares will reach the equivalent level, of that which was charged in the nineteen thirties, relative to the average persons income. Such steep increases in airline fares, will cause a rapid and massive drop in passengers discount car rental in salt lake city traveling by plane, as the price of ticket will be no longer affordable by 95% of Australia s population. Since this will also rapidly decrease the number of planes required to transport the minority, who can afford to fly around the world to around discount car rental in salt lake city 2% to 3% of todays discount car rental in salt lake city peak levels, the planned additional airfield becomes very redundant indeed!
Cynically, given the writing that is already on the wall of no return, means that it is fool hardy to waste valuable taxpayer funds on a complete pipe dream project. It is and will always remain, discount car rental in salt lake city one that will yield zero investment returns, from day one !
I have had this argument with quite a few people and as you say who will be able to travel by plane in 2020? Engineers are reaching the end of the potential discount car rental in salt lake city for innovation with size, materials, engine performance etc. So unless we see some type of breakthrough with fuel efficiency then your scenario is quite a likely outcome.
As you say if airline execs are so confident of the industries future why don t they build the lot airports, transport links etc. If they want the taxpayer to pick up the bill I would be very wary of any taxpayer involvement...privatisation, free enterprise and all that...public/private partnerships in NSW have in general been dismal failures.
If we would like a planet whose climate remains habitable for seven plus billion people, global aviation needs to (a) implement some breakthrough low-emissions technologies (revert to airships?) and/or (b) significantly contract. I am not aware of any global emissions pathway to a world that avoids very, very nasty outcomes that includes aviation continuing to increase its emissions. Biofuels may play some small role, but current commercially-produced biofuels have very significant drawbacks that exclude their role as any kind of silver bullet enabling the continuation of the present trajectory of the aviation industry.
discount car rental in salt lake city Peak oil and climate change both spell very serious consequences for commercial aviation in particular. discount car rental in salt lake city I don t think that investing in further expansion of aviation infrastructure on the basis of extrapolating trends from the last few decades is a particularly wise move.
Gday Byron, if we want a planet with climate remaining habitable for seven plus billion people, global discount car rental in salt lake city aviation needs to stop recycling geosequestered carbon to the atmosphere. It doesn t need to stop using liquid fuels, it just needs to start using biofuels.
The challenge for technologists is to not obtain those biofuels from food materials, or forests. I understand that Exxon Mobil has been funding Craig Venter s research into developing GM algae suitable for extracting liquid fuel directly from atmospheric CO2.
The question is whether such biofuels will be available on a relevant timescale and cost. I have not followed this discussion closely in the last year or two but prior to that, I was under the impression that algae based solutions were unlikely to be a game-changer anytime soon. Are there any new developments that make it seem likely? If not, I think it is wise to plan for reducing global aviation discount car rental in salt lake city as far and fast as possible.
Sydney s second airport will necessarily be constructed about fifty kilometres from the C
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